---
title: "SSL/TLS Threat Model · VORNAC Research"
description: "TLS attack surface organized by ceremony stage: handshake, certificate path, cipher choice, record layer — with the deprecation and mitigation timeline."
url: https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/ssl-tls-threat-model
lang: en
published: 2026-06-02
updated: 2026-06-02
alternate_de: https://www.vornac.com/research/defensive-ops/ssl-tls-threat-model
---

[Research Index](https://www.vornac.com/en/research) / [8 · Defensive Operations & Governance](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops) / SSL/TLS Threat Model

Reference · [8 Defensive Operations & Governance](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops)

# SSL/TLS Threat Model.

TLS attack surface organized by ceremony stage: handshake, certificate path, cipher choice, record layer — with the deprecation and mitigation timeline.

## Handshake stage

-   **Version negotiation.** TLS 1.0/1.1 deprecated (RFC 8996, 2021). TLS 1.2 still acceptable with restricted ciphers; TLS 1.3 preferred. SSLv2/v3 disabled everywhere.
-   **Downgrade attacks.**
    -   POODLE (SSLv3 padding oracle) — kill SSLv3.
    -   Version-rollback in clients claiming TLS support — TLS 1.3 includes SCSV mechanism to detect.
    -   Client signal "I support up to X" — server must enforce X-or-higher.
-   **Cipher-suite selection.**
    -   **Deprecated:** RC4 (RFC 7465), 3DES (Sweet32), CBC-mode with SHA1 MAC (Lucky 13, BEAST), export-grade RSA (FREAK, Logjam), static RSA key exchange (no forward secrecy).
    -   **Current safe (TLS 1.2):** ECDHE-RSA / ECDHE-ECDSA with AES-GCM or ChaCha20-Poly1305 + SHA-256/SHA-384.
    -   **Current safe (TLS 1.3):** TLS\_AES\_128\_GCM\_SHA256, TLS\_AES\_256\_GCM\_SHA384, TLS\_CHACHA20\_POLY1305\_SHA256. All forward-secret by default.
-   **Renegotiation.** Secure-renegotiation extension RFC 5746 required. Legacy servers without it = vulnerable to injection.

## Certificate path / PKI

-   **Trust store.** OS bundle (Microsoft, Apple, Mozilla NSS). Custom enterprise CA appended carefully — over-broad trust = SSL inspection becomes lateral-movement channel if appliance compromised.
-   **Chain construction.** Server should send entire chain except root. Missing intermediate = client must fetch from AIA (slow, sometimes failing).
-   **Validation strictness.** Verify: chain to trusted root, validity dates, hostname match, key-usage extension, basic-constraints, name-constraints.
-   **Revocation.**
    -   CRL: large, downloaded periodically, often soft-fail (treat unreachable as valid).
    -   OCSP: real-time, privacy leak (CA learns who you visit), often soft-fail.
    -   OCSP stapling: server includes CA-signed status in handshake. Closest to right answer.
    -   Short-lived certs (Let's Encrypt 90 days, eventually 6 days) make revocation less critical.
-   **Certificate Transparency.** All public CA issuance logged to append-only Merkle trees. Monitor your domains via `crt.sh`, `certstream`, `Censys` for mis-issuance. Catches phishing certs and rogue CAs.
-   **Pinning.** HPKP deprecated (foot-gun). Use static pinning in mobile apps only. For web: rely on CT monitoring + short cert lifetimes.
-   **HSTS.** `Strict-Transport-Security: max-age=63072000; includeSubDomains; preload`. Preload list via `hstspreload.org` kills first-visit downgrade.

## Historic attack timeline

-   **BEAST (2011).** CBC IV predictable in TLS 1.0. Counter: 1/n-1 split or TLS 1.1+.
-   **CRIME (2012).** TLS compression leaks via length. Counter: disable TLS-level compression.
-   **BREACH (2013).** HTTP-level compression leaks reflected secrets. Counter: don't compress + don't reflect.
-   **Lucky 13 (2013).** CBC MAC timing leak. Counter: AEAD ciphers.
-   **POODLE (2014).** SSLv3 padding oracle. Counter: kill SSLv3.
-   **FREAK / Logjam (2015).** Export-grade RSA / DH forced via downgrade. Counter: kill EXPORT ciphers, use ≥2048-bit DH or ECDHE.
-   **DROWN (2016).** SSLv2 on same key as TLS 1.2 server compromises both. Counter: kill SSLv2, separate keys.
-   **Sweet32 (2016).** 64-bit block cipher (3DES) collision attack on long-lived connection. Counter: AES.
-   **ROBOT (2017).** Bleichenbacher resurrected on misconfigured RSA-PKCS#1v1.5. Counter: prefer ECDHE; if RSA, vendor patches.

## Current safe baseline

-   TLS 1.3 with TLS 1.2 fallback (only for ancient client compatibility).
-   Ciphers limited to AES-GCM, AES-CCM, ChaCha20-Poly1305.
-   ECDHE (P-256 or X25519) for key agreement.
-   Cert signed with ECDSA P-256 or RSA-2048 minimum.
-   OCSP stapling on, HSTS on with long max-age + preload, CT monitoring on.
-   Mozilla SSL Configuration Generator ("Modern" or "Intermediate") is the canonical recipe.

**Rule of thumb**For new deployments, TLS 1.3 only. For mixed-client environments, TLS 1.2 with the restricted cipher list. Audit quarterly with `testssl.sh`, `nmap --script ssl-enum-ciphers`, or Qualys SSL Labs.

Domain

[8 · Defensive Operations & Governance](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops)

Tier

Reference

Engagement phases

No specific phase

Published

2 June 2026

Looking up an acronym?

[Open the Glossary](https://www.vornac.com/en/glossary)

## Related notes in this domain

-   [Reference SIEM Architecture — Reference](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/siem-architecture)
-   [Reference DDoS Defense — Reference](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/ddos-defense-reference)
-   [Reference Host & Network Hardening](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/host-and-network-hardening)
-   [Background Perimeter, Office & Database Security](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/perimeter-and-database-security)
-   [Background Compliance, Risk & Information Security Landscape](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/compliance-and-governance)

[Previous note SIEM Architecture — Reference](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/siem-architecture) [Back to domain](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops) [Next note DDoS Defense — Reference](https://www.vornac.com/en/research/defensive-ops/ddos-defense-reference)

From reference to evidence

## Run this against your own environment.
